Integration of Foreign Trade Economic Analysis into Certain Areas of Uzbekistan’s Customs Service

This article examines how the results of foreign trade economic analysis can be operationalized in customs administration through two linked instruments: differentiated treatment of Authorized Economic Operators and risk-based improvement of customs audit. The core argument is that customs analysis should no longer be treated as a descriptive function limited to turnover, declarations, and payments. It should instead serve as a decision-support mechanism for trader segmentation, facilitation design, post-clearance control, revenue forecasting, and early detection of non-compliance. The paper relies on the empirical materials embedded in the underlying study, including audit results, monthly stability-rating trajectories of selected firms, and the legal and institutional framework presently operating in Uzbekistan. A central proposal is to connect the national business stability rating with customs facilitation and post-clearance control, without replacing the legal content of the AEO regime. Such integration would make customs treatment more dynamic, economically grounded, and proportionate to actual compliance behavior. The thesis also argues that customs audit should be rebuilt around multi-source economic indicators, especially tax discipline, e-invoicing continuity, debt exposure, and profitability, while financial sanctions for customs offences should better reflect the economic significance of the violation. This approach is consistent with current Uzbek reforms and with international standards developed by the World Customs Organization (WCO) and the World Trade Organization (WTO).

Foreign trade economic analysis, customs administration, stability rating

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