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Political Science Law OPEN ACCESS

Climate change and civil conflict in Africa: understanding the interconnections

O.M.C. Osazuwa
City University, Cambodia
Maryjane Y. Oghogho
PhD Student, City University, Cambodia
Alfred A. Mboto
Ph.D. Student, City University, Cambodia
Godwin P. Onogwu
Ph.D. Student, City University, Cambodia
Okwudia Gogogwute
Ph.D. Student, City University, Cambodia
DOI Crossref DOI 10.37547/tajpslc/Volume07Issue05-18
tajpslc 2025
VOL. 7 / NO. 05 MAY
FULL TEXT PP. 158-174
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VOLUME 7
ISSUE 05
YEAR 2025
PAGES 158-174
RESEARCH OVERVIEW

Abstract

Climate change is a major catalyst for socio-political instability, especially in Africa, where reliance on natural resources for sustenance and economic endeavours is substantial. This study investigates the intricate relationship between climate change and civil strife, emphasising how environmental stress intensifies socio-economic inequalities and incites hostilities. The research seeks to elucidate the mechanisms connecting climate change to conflict and to provide ways for mitigating these effects while enhancing resilience in impacted communities. The study employs a qualitative methodology, utilising secondary sources including peer-reviewed articles, policy reports, and empirical case studies. The Environmental Scarcity Theory and Relative Deprivation Theory offer an analytical framework that demonstrates how resource scarcity and socio-political grievances lead to conflict. The data concentrates on areas such as the Sahel and Lake Chad Basin, where the effects of climate change are most pronounced. Thematic and comparative analyses are utilised to merge theoretical viewpoints with practical examples. The research indicates that climate change aggravates resource shortage, especially regarding water and arable land, heightening confrontations between competing factions such as farmers and herders. Environmental displacement burdens host communities, exacerbating tensions frequently manipulated by rebel factions. Inadequate governance and institutional inefficiencies exacerbate vulnerabilities, while climate-induced economic disruptions disproportionately impact agriculture- dependent populations. The results substantiate that climate change considerably affects civil violence in Africa. Addressing this nexus necessitates a multifaceted strategy, encompassing the enhancement of governance, the promotion of sustainable livelihoods, and the encouragement of community-based resource management. Recommendations encompass the augmentation of climate adaptation strategies, the implementation of early warning systems, and the procurement of international assistance for at-risk areas. A coordinated, region-specific strategy is crucial for risk mitigation and the promotion of enduring socio-political stability.

RESEARCH TOPICS

Keywords

Climate change civil conflict resource scarcity

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