This research paper aims to investigate the impact of various tourism industry scenarios on urban economies. The tourism sector plays a crucial role in driving economic growth and development in many cities worldwide. However, the dynamics and outcomes of tourism can vary significantly depending on various factors such as tourist trends, destination marketing strategies, infrastructure development, and policy frameworks. This study undertakes a comprehensive analysis of the potential scenarios that can shape the relationship between the tourism industry and urban economies. By examining case studies, statistical data, and expert insights, this research provides valuable insights into the economic implications of different tourism industry scenarios and offers recommendations for policymakers and urban planners to optimize the positive impacts and mitigate potential challenges.

Tourism industry, Urban economy, Economic impact

Tisdel, C. A. (2013). Handbook of Tourism Economics -Analysis, New Applications and Case Studies, World Scientific pub.

Butcher, G., Fairweather, J. R. & Simmons, D. G (2003). “The economic impact of tourism on christchurchcity and akaroa town ship”.

Sequeira, T. V., & Nunes, P. M. (2008). Does tourism influence economic growth? Adynamic panel data approach. Applied Economics, 40(18), 2431–2441. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840600949520

Ghartey, E. (2013). Effects of tourism, economic growth, real exchange rate, structural changes and hurricanes in Jamaica. Tourism Economics, 19(4), 919–942.doi: https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2013.0228

5. Cannonier, C., & Galloway Burke, M. (2019). The economic growth impact of tourism in small Island developing states—Evidence from the Caribbean. Tourism Economics, 25(1), 85–108.doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/1354816618792792

Scarlett, H. G. (2021), Tourism recovery and the economic impact: A panel assessment, Research Globalization (3). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2021.100044

Heshmati, A., & Rashidghalam, M. (2021), Assessment of the urban circular economyin Sweden, Journal of Cleaner Production (310), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127475

Romao, J., & Bi, Y. (2021). Determinants of collective transport mode choice and its impacts on trip satisfaction in urban tourism, Journal of Transport Geography 94, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103094

Kronenberg, K., & Fuchs, M. (2021). Aligning tourism's socio-economic impact with the United Nations' sustainable development goals, Tourism Management Perspectives 39, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2021.100831

Kyara,V., Rahman,M.M., & Rasheda, K. (2021). Tourism expansion and economic growth in Tanzania: A causality analysis, Heliyon 7. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06966