Articles
| Open Access | Adaptive Risk Governance and Predictive Policy Frameworks: Integrating Industrial Safety Scorecards and AI-Driven Threat Detection in the Modern Regulatory Landscape
Dr. Alistair Vance , Department of Public Policy and Risk Management, University of Manchester U.KAbstract
The rapid evolution of industrial complexity and cyber-physical integration has necessitated a paradigm shift in how regulatory frameworks address both traditional and emergent risks. This research article explores the synthesis of classical policy analysis with modern predictive technologies to create a resilient governance model. By examining the transition from reactive post-accident analysis-exemplified by the Lubrizol factory fire in Rouen-to proactive, scorecard-based oversight, the study identifies a critical gap in current longitudinal safety management. Drawing on the foundational methodologies of policy planning and the contemporary advancements in AI-driven threat detection, this paper proposes an integrated "Adaptive Governance Framework." This framework leverages leading indicators from occupational health and safety scorecards and disaster resilience metrics to inform real-time policy adjustments. Furthermore, the research investigates the role of strategic cybersecurity governance, particularly within the context of national visions such as Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, to demonstrate how risk-based policy frameworks protect critical infrastructure. The findings suggest that the integration of machine learning-based intrusion detection and structured policy adaptation significantly enhances the ability of state and private actors to mitigate large-scale environmental and digital catastrophes. This article provides an extensive theoretical elaboration on the necessity of "planned adaptation" in risk regulation, arguing that the future of public safety lies in the convergence of industrial reliability engineering and predictive algorithmic oversight.
Keywords
Policy Analysis, Risk Governance, Industrial Safety, Predictive Threat Detection
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